From the Blog
Signals and Consequences: How US Policy Shaped Russian Strategy and Negotiation Leverage in Ukraine, 2014-2025
This article argues that U.S. policy decisions across four administrations — ranging from Obama’s restrained response to Crimea, Trump’s inconsistent aid posture, Biden’s industrialized support during full‑scale war, and Trump’s current ceasefire diplomacy — collectively informed Russian strategy by signaling thresholds of American commitment.